"....The truth is out there."
-- Dr. Jerome Jackson, 2002 (... & Agent Fox Mulder)
“There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy.”
"All truth passes through 3 stages: First it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as self-evident."
-- Arthur Schopenhauer
Wednesday, November 11, 2009
-- The Discussion Proceeds --
A somewhat extensive post, that I largely agree with, over at IBWO Researcher's Forum from "PORCAR" regarding the possibilities for Mike's Nov. 5 bird (narrowed down to 3 woodpeckers for PORCAR). The one thing he doesn't address directly that I think can't be entirely ruled out (however unlikely it seems) is a mutational Pileated (or for that matter possibly a mutation of something else):
For the moment we seem to be headed into Luneau Land on this video, but maybe the fog will lift and there will yet be a firmer consensus.
Also, thus far very minimal response over at the "Frontiers of Identification" birding site to the Collins videos. Could be, as I surmised earlier, that no one is taking them very seriously there... or, it could be just the opposite, that some folks are viewing them so seriously as to take significant time to analyze and prepare their response. But if we haven't seen more analyses posted within another week-or-so, I suspect it is the former explanation.
Even PORCAR says: "The white that appears in some of Mike's Nov. 5 frames would seem to be a slam-dunk at minimum for not being able to eliminate Red-headed from consideration. In fact, many knowledgeable commentators have already concluded that this bird has to be a Red-headed based on some of these later frames."
All you have to do is:
1) look at the body length to wing span ratios of all frames. They are almost all lying near the expected value for RHWO and not IBWO. You must adjust body and wings to foreshortening as applicable...don't forget to add back width (est 9.5 % of 2 times single wing length).
Also the bird is banking so as in most birds the wing opposite the desired banking direction can be quite vertical as it needs to push away at the direction of the potential predator in the tree. This is why you are getting the illusion that the wing is soooo looong in the early frames, the left wing needs to do most of the turning work and the other wing is a low counterbalance.
2) superimpose actual wing shapes of the subject species over the video wings in pertinent frames and almost all agree with the context of the wing cycle as being RHWO shape and size. Pronate the shapes as needed to get the right wing angle in relation to the body and long axis of bird.
3) plummage, multiple points, not listed here but obvious.
addtional plummage points
3a) lack of any hint of neck stripe
b) lack of any hint of dorsal stipes
c) lack of proper neck shape
4) assuminmg bird curved to avoid viewer it had to do that at 800-900 feet rather than 350-450 feet. This point subjective, open to discussion, as all are.
5) take aspirin
thanks F. Virrazzi
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