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For anyone who hasn't seen it here is the statement sent out by Cornell to its subscribers summarizing the 2005-6 IBWO search. It makes several important points:
"The 2005-2006 search for the Ivory-billed Woodpecker has now drawn to a close in Arkansas. Search team leaders from the Lab of Ornithology and Audubon Arkansas, plus Recovery Team leaders from the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service held a news conference Thursday to talk about the field season and what happens next. These were the main points from the conference:
- During this field season, the search team did not collect any additional confirmation of ivory-bills in the Big Woods. They are now fairly sure that there is not a pair of ivory-bills residing in the Bayou de View area of the Cache River National Wildlife Refuge, the area where there was a number of sightings in the 2004-2005 field season. They believe the bird spotted there in 2004 is no longer frequenting the area. Because of this, managed access restrictions have been lifted--a move supported by the Lab.
- Enough positive data have been gathered to warrant a continuation of the search for another field season in Arkansas. It's likely the effort will be scaled down somewhat, and rely heavily on volunteers to conduct the fieldwork. Remote time-lapse camera systems have been perfected and will also be used, along with autonomous recording units to capture sounds in the forest. Search efforts have already been expanded into other states, such as Texas, Louisiana, and South Carolina, overseen by the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service. Lab staff will assist those searches with equipment and methodology. A small, mobile ivory-bill search team will also be formed to deploy to areas where promising encounters may occur.
- During the field season just ended, there were four brief possible sightings, one by a volunteer, and three by members of the public. In each case they saw one field mark: an expanse of white on the trailing edge of the bird's wing as it was flying. No pictures were obtained.
- On a number of occasions, searchers heard possible kent calls and double raps that are characteristic of the ivory-bill. Some of the double-raps were recorded on video camera sound tracks and are being analyzed now to confirm whether or not they match ivory-bill sounds. Although there were fewer visual encounters this season, there have been more occasions when people heard potential ivory-bill sounds.
- This season, search teams covered 33,000 acres of forest searching for roost holes, nest holes, or signs of ivory-bill foraging. Combined with last year's effort, 72,000 acres have been searched. That amounts to 13 percent of the total habitat available in the Big Woods. The team has found 10 cavities that are the right size and shape for the ivory-bill and much too large for the Pileated Woodpecker. That is the number that researchers say they would expect to find for a bird as rare as the ivory-bill which requires a large amount of territory.
- Both the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service and the Cornell Lab of Ornithology stand behind the conclusion that the bird videotaped in the Cache River National Wildlife Refuge in February 2005 is indeed an Ivory-billed Woodpecker. It may take years of searching to find the bird or birds again. According to the leader of the Ivory-billed Woodpecker Recovery Team from the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service, the agency is a "long way" from declaring that the ivory-bill is extinct.
- The Recovery Team has drafted a recovery plan for the ivory-bill for internal review, and it will be released for public comment toward the end of September. The search team from the Lab of Ornithology will have a final report on the findings of this past season later in the summer.
Certainly our deepest thanks go out to all the wonderful volunteers and professional full-time staff who joined us in the 2005-2006 search season--more than 100 of some of the best field biologists and birders in the nation. They were unfailingly eager, enthusiastic, and dedicated. Much good conservation work has been done by The Nature Conservancy, Audubon Arkansas, and others since news of the rediscovery. Welcome attention has been focused on saving the unique ecosystem of the Big Woods and the many birds and animals that inhabit its green corridors. We're still in high gear and still going to keep searching, using the most rigorous scientific methods, keeping an open mind, but being very cautious about our conclusions, as we have been so far.
We're deeply grateful for all the interest in and support for this project that you have shown. Stay tuned!"
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....and a further word from me: as could be expected, much press reportage since Cornell's announcement has once again stated or implied that the Ivory-bill is extinct, because of the search's failure to attain photographic evidence from this one locale of attention -- Cornell acknowledges they no longer believe it likely that IBWOs reside in the Bayou de View area of the 2-year-ago sightings. This says nothing about the remainder of the Big Woods or the other areas of the Southeast that remain to be studied. Scientifically there simply remains no solid basis, other than impatience, for assuming the Ivory-bill extinct. Indeed, no bird has ever been declared extinct with an equivalent history of sightings/claims. The unfortunate consequence of Cornell's efforts and the subsequent controversy will now be even more skepticism/cynicism toward future sighting reports and a retrenchment of the interest in the species that had taken so long to establish. Possibly one of the automatic camera units will yet capture the evidence desired. Or else it may now fall on one of the original sighters to re-double their efforts to attain that evidence if only to rescue their own credibility (...and speaking engagements!!); or maybe it will be some other persistent searcher from Mike Collins to Jerry Jackson to Bob Russell or Mary Scott to get the needed photo; it is unfortunately the case that many others drawn into the search this season will now pack up their interest and energy and move on to other things, skepticism having won the day in many quarters. Hamlet famously pronounced, "There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio, than are dreamt of in your philosophy" -- with patience and persistence, possiby the truth of that sentiment will yet be demonstrated to those of a cynical bent...
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Thus far less than 15% of the Big Woods region has been much explored by IBWO searchers; although the Bayou de View area does not appear to hold IBWOs, the White River area (which many believed all along held the best habitat) has not been as thoroughly combed, and other areas have been untouched.
Before 2004, Arkansas wasn't even on many IBWO searchers' radar as a likely place to harbor the species. Both then and now Florida, Louisiana, and Mississippi, held the greatest hope for numbers of Ivory-bills, with Texas and S. Carolina not far behind, and Georgia, Alabama, and some other areas still having possibilities. The significance of the AR. sightings for me was NOT what it said about IBWO existence, but what it potentially said about the NUMBERS that might still persist. On that score I am once again somewhat pessimistic, but not on the issue of existence.
Despite discouragement at Cornell's search results it is vital to keep things in perspective, especially since 3 issues/questions continually get muddled together unnecessarily in this whole affair:
1) Do Ivory-bills still survive in America?
2) Do Ivory-bills exist in the Big Woods of Arkansas?
3) Is the bird in the Luneau film clip an Ivory-bill?
If the answer to #3 is "Yes" than obviously the answer to all 3 questions is 'yes,' but unfortunately too many people seem to assume that if the answer is 'no' than the answers to #1 and #2 are also 'no,' when in fact a 'no' answer says NOTHING about those (more important) questions. (Similarly, if the answer to #1 is 'no' than the other 2 questions are automatically also 'no,' but if the answer is 'yes' it says nothing about the answers to the other 2.)
In short, the best we can say for now from Cornell's results is that there is likely no current population of Ivory-bills residing in the Bayou de View area of Arkansas, but in all truth, we can't go far beyond that, though skeptics will continue to simplify matters by choosing to do so. Overgeneralization is a constant bugaboo in biological study. The leap from no Ivory-bills in a section of the Big Woods of Arkansas to 'Ivory-bills are extinct' is quite simply... a leap of faith, not of science.
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Have your Prozac ready and within arm's reach....
The (de)press(ing) news coverage has begun of Cornell's 2005-6 Ivory-bill search results. Following are some of the initial articles reporting on the (lack of) findings. The first one, from a Chicago Tribune writer, is probably the best of the lot and most thorough (2nd from Reuters, 3rd from Atlanta Journal-Constitution, 4th the NY Times). The number of possible 'sightings' being reported is even lower than anitcipated: four (3 from the public, only one from a Cornell volunteer). And even more disheartening than the scarcity of human sightings is the lack of current evidence from automatic remote cameras, or truly strong indications for roost holes, nestholes, or bark scrapings (acoustic data still being analyzed, but nothing dramatic reported); possibly there will be more hopeful details given at tomorrow's official presentation in AR., or possibly not. The rift between those who believe in the species' persistence and those who don't is bound to only worsen, but as that great ornithologist Yogi Berra always said, 'It's not over 'til it's over...' and it ain't over yet, as for the first time in 60 years real searches in multiple areas are finally taking place, but it certainly can't be a happy day in Brinkley or Clarendon, AR.... or Ithaca, NY :
http://www.sunherald.com/mld/sunherald/news/nation/14613990.htm
http://www.planetark.com/dailynewsstory.cfm/newsid/36456/story.htm
http://www.ajc.com/news/content/news/science/stories/0518woodpecker.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/19/science/19bird.html?ex=1305691200&en=40a8cc170868fce2&ei=5088&partner=rssnyt&emc=rss
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Today Cornell released an initial statement of their 2005-6 IBWO search findings, with, as expected, nothing really significant to report. The release begins as follows:
"There were teasing glimpses and tantalizing sounds, but the 2005-2006 search for the Ivory-billed Woodpecker in Arkansas has concluded without the definitive visual documentation being sought. The search, led by the Cornell Lab of Ornithology, with support from Audubon Arkansas, stretched from November through April when ivory-bill activity would be highest and a lack of leaf-cover permitted clear views through the dense forest. The search included 22 full-time searchers and state-of-the-art acoustic and video monitoring technology. To supplement the full-time effort, volunteer groups of 14 spent two weeks at a time helping to search the 550,000-acre area focused on the Cache and White River National Wildlife Refuges.
'The search teams were very skilled, not only technically but in the execution of the search,' said Dr. John Fitzpatrick, director of the Cornell Lab of Ornithology. “Even though we didn’t get additional definitive evidence of the ivory-bill in Arkansas, we’re not discouraged. The vastness of the forest combined with the highly mobile nature of the bird warrant additional searching.”
(full statement at: http://www.birds.cornell.edu/ivory/latest/end_of_season)
(also, related story here.)
Saturday is the official day for their report announcement at the Clarendon Birding Festival so there will likely be additional details available at that point. As the Chicago Cubs would say, 'there's always next season.' But seriously, there are still other searchers to hear from and other locales to scour along with Cache/White River so while skeptics have a field day relax, take some deep breaths, and don't despair...
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Many of us were envious when the state of Arkansas offered a handsome Ivory-bill license plate to it's residents earlier this year -- now a version of that plate is available to anyone living in the 20-or-so other states that permit front license tags on vehicles, for about $20 (other items available as well):
http://www.ivory-bill-woodpecker.com/ivory-bill-license-plate.htm
There continue to be a few Ivory-bill related articles or listserv mentions popping up on the Web, but with no real new or confirmed information -- I'm opting not to make mention of or link to any of these 'more-of-the-same' pieces until Cornell has their say on the 20th, so may not have anything to post next couple of days unless something otherwise merits it.
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I'm still in the midst of moving but hope to finish this weekend and be more regular on the Web by Mon. or Tues.
Luckily, I haven't been missing too much IBWO-wise, and probably won't be much hard IBWO news before Cornell begins releasing their summary report on May 20th -- they apparently are also releasing their contracted volunteers to speak more freely at that time as well... hmmm, do we need a drrrrumroll... or just some piccolo music???
And Mike Collins has just posted an update to his venture in the Pearl River region on BirdChat pleading for more conservation action to be taken in that area (claiming at least a pair of IBWOs):
http://listserv.arizona.edu/cgi-bin/wa?A2=ind0605b&L=birdchat&P=3378
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Sorry for the lapse; I'm busily in process of moving (...not to Brinkley, AR., unfortunately : - ), and lost internet connection for couple of days (and might lose it again late next week). Anyway, here's a new article of interest from the New York Times:
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/05/07/magazine/07woodpecker.html
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It was a little over a year ago that birding websites, listservs, email boxes, newsreaders and the like went nuts as rumors flew that the Cornell Lab of Ornithology and Nature Conservancy were about to announce the rediscovery of the Ivory-billed Woodpecker in Arkansas (...will any of us ever forget that evening or next day!) -- now, a year later, after the first real widespread interest in, and search for the species in 60 years, and an ensuing controversy that no one foresaw, we await release of Cornell's current findings.
Rarely has ornithology seen a rift of such major proportions, with so many major players painted into opposite corners, and so widely covered in the media. For the still-perceived-as-genteel hobby of birdwatching we have the equivalent of a backyard brawl. The academics and professionals however can take care of themselves; what has been even uglier to see, and somehwat surprising, is the degree of animosity, aspersions, and frequent incivility generated across the internet at the lower levels of the birding avocation, as the controversy plays out (with the possibility that it may never be resolved, although I still believe it will).
Further, on the bad side, all indications are that Cornell will have no photographic or video evidence, no found nest or roost holes to report, when they release their summary for 6 months of searching (but, hey Cornell, feel free to 'make my day!'). The question in the public mind will be how they could've had 16+ sightings in the course of one year (several in a single month) and established a "hot zone," and then come up with so little on this go-around (except for a fine picture of a very leucistic Pileated, a sort of needle-in-a-haystack itself, shortly after finding it) -- there are possible explanations, but they won't play well in the public arena.
On the good side, there are several additional 'sightings' to report (the number and quality no doubt open to debate), further acoustic evidence to analyze and release, and Cornell remains steadfast in the integrity and accuracy of their original evidence. In short, there will be enough to report to support continuing interest and a second season of searching next winter (and of course other areas outside Arkansas are still to be heard from as well). Moreover, I understand there will be at least some continued monitoring of automatic camera units in the field in coming months, though physical searches have largely halted for the summer. The story is a long way from over, but unfortunately I suspect believers need to brace themselves for yet more skepticism and controversy in the next month rather than less.
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Readers will be interested in the following recent comments from Jerry Jackson (pers. communication) now that the winter IBWO search is largely over. (Not everyone will agree with everything he has to say here, but always worth hearing his latest take on matters.) Dr. Jackson continues to straddle a delicate position between cautious and fading hope. Further updated commentary and analysis is included in the new paperback version of his book soon to be out (which, by the way, he warns me still has several typos in it, caught too late, though many errors from the first edition have now been corrected):
"In March, Dr. Peter Pechacek, a German woodpecker specialist, and I spent time in Bayou DeView, White River, the Singer Tract, and the Pearl River Swamp. We were interested in getting a close juxtaposition of those habitats in mind.... same season, etc. Bayou DeView (where I've been several times since October 2005) simply doesn't offer much of the right kind of habitat. White River has some wonderful habitat, but lots and lots of human visitors... Interestingly, Some of the habitat at White River is very much like that at the Singer Tract. Both were cut over at about the same time in the late 1930s and both have been more or less protected (some commercial logging) ever since. Species composition and presence of some nice large old trees are similar. If the birds are anywhere, they could be in either area. A key question is "What happened to the birds from the Singer Tract?" They could have just died, but I doubt it. Life is too resilient ... the will and urge to survive, too strong. The Singer Tract birds could have moved north along the Mississippi, ending up in White River, or they could even have remained in the "wings" at Singer Tract.... just to the south along the Tensas or elsewhere nearby. There's no evidence of Ivory-bills in recent decades in the Singer Tract, but I wouldn't discount the possibility. The habitat has been improving for more than 60 years and I believe they easily could survive there now. A pilgrimage to search for Ivory-bills should include time in that area.
We went into the Pearl River Swamp with the generous help and company of Mike Collins. The area was simply devastated by Hurricane Katrina... most large trees are on the ground. We kayaked up the Pearl River and into the swamp and I saw nothing that looked very promising, although habitat might be better in a few pockets deeper in.... not to say that they couldn't have been there or that they might not still be hanging on and trying to survive... but I'm not optimistic.
The bottom line is that we simply don't know and that the odds of there being Ivory-bills anywhere are rapidly fading as more and better search efforts come up empty-handed.
The Fakahatchee Strand area was cut over in the 1950s, although there are still a few bigger trees in there. It and the adjacent Florida Panther National Wildlife Refuge, Big Cypress National Preserve, and some good private lands offer some hope.
I feel that the Congaree is possible too, but perhaps less of a possibility than more southern areas... don't know. I haven't been back there in nearly 20 years, though I'd love to get back there.
The Big Bend Area of north Florida (Aucilla, Wacissa, Apalachicola, Chipola, lower Suwannee rivers) was once the IB capitol so too speak.... more specimens from there than anywhere else. It still has some remote, more or less suitable habitat and offers possibilities as good as anywhere. But a lot of that land is owned by St. Joe Paper Company and is currently being sold off for "ranchettes."
I would be hard-pressed to say that any one of the sites I've mentioned stands above any of the others in terms of hope for the Ivory-bill.... they're all slim possibilities that deserve the search efforts going on. The efforts are needed now because habitat is being destroyed or isolated rapidly in many areas.
I'm also not discounting a few areas in Mississippi and eastern Georgia.
I want to believe.... and I'll keep searching and following leads."
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Though not verified in Cuba since the late 1980s, a renewed search for the Ivory-billed Woodpecker on that island nation is commencing in a portion of its eastern mountains that had been off-limits to scientists for decades.
http://www.cubanet.org/CNews/y06/apr06/28e13.htm
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Ivory-bill searcher Chris Geraghty of Canada has established his own IBWO internet site to report on his own searches as well as other basic information and links:
http://www.birdviewing.com/?page=ivorybillcenter
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Below is a Wed. news article out of Arkansas as the IBWO search winds down for this season, and we await Cornell's summary of the number and quality of sightings attained as well as any additional acoustic evidence to be presented (according to the article Cornell will be holding a series of public meetings in May in AR. reporting their findings -- a number of other talks around the country on the Ivory-bill are scheduled in May as well).
http://www.arkansasleader.com/2006/04/from-publisher-woodpecker-search-takes.html
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Even though the majority of commenters are respectful and thoughtful, as a result of the number of trolling comments, repetitive comments, quickly deteriorating civility, and personal attacks, I've again cancelled the 'comment' feature to the blog for now. I tried running the blog in "comment moderation" mode whereby all comments are okayed or rejected ahead of publication with the intent of simply picking out a few of the better comments representing different viewpoints and discarding the rest -- even this however has proved impractical and time-consuming. However, if you feel you have something truly important or new to say you can still email it to me, and if I find it worthwhile enough I can transfer it to the comments section myself or to a post -- if you do send something via email for possible inclusion in the blog, please sign it as you would want it posted (name, "anonymous," or whatever other designation).
With snake and mosquito season rapidly approaching the official Arkansas search will soon end for this season, and unless Cornell has a surprise up their sleeve, there may be only further less-than-convincing, undefinitive sightings and recordings to summarize, which will give skeptics yet a further adrenalin boost. There are however at least 3 obvious explanations proposable:
1) (the skeptics' favorite) the original claims were mistaken IDs, followed by Cornell painting themselves into a corner from which they could not release themselves, and there are NO Ivory-bills in Arkansas.
2) the Ivory-bills in the Big Woods are fewer than we had all hoped for and it will take far more time to document them in such a large area.
3) the few Ivory-bills that were spotted in the Big Woods in 2004 have since departed the area and none are left there currently.
In any event, the search continues in multiple areas that, previous to 2004, were considered far more likely to hold IBWOs than Arkansas, and the Arkansas search itself (whatever this season's results) will commence anew next winter.
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Mike Collins has ended his stint in the Pearl River region of Louisiana. His last post (4/20) runs as follows:
"After an 1100 mile drive, I made it back home to Virginia. I'm pleased to report that my wife still recognized me, even though I never took the time to get a haircut during nearly three months in the field. I will now get to work seriously analyzing the data. I thought about this during the drive home. The white trailing edge of the right wing and the left dorsal stripe are clear and unambiguous in the video. Various counter arguments have been put forth, but they don't hold water as I will show. Thanks to all for your support."
http://www.fishcrow.com/winter06.html
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Tim Gallagher's book (The Grail Bird) has been out now for awhile in paperback, and Jerome Jackson's book, In Search of The Ivory-billed Woodpecker, is due out May 9th in an updated and paperback version (the hardback version appeared prior to the Arkansas excitement); seems like odd timing given that Cornell's initial summary of the winter search will just be coming out in May and likely be fodder for yet another updated version (unless Jackson is fully privy to what those findings will have to say). No telling who else may be working on a volume on the subject at this point.
At any rate, if by any chance any reader doesn't already own a copy of Jackson's work, I highly recommend you get the paperback for its comprehensive account of Ivory-bill history (no matter what you think of Jackson's published views of the current AR. evidence).
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0060891556/sr=8-2/qid=1145720838/ref=sr_1_2/102-7770595-9031309?%5Fencoding=UTF8
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We'll approach the weekend on a light note -- a recently published poll ranked the "most beautiful" birds in North America and I was a bit surprised (considering how few of us have seen one) that the Ivory-bill made it onto the list which ran as follows from the referenced article:
"Just as People magazine annually crowns the most beautiful people, six of the nation's leading ornithologists have selected the most beautiful birds in North America. There were several ties, so 15 birds emerged as winners: <>
1. Scarlet tanager
2. Blackburnian warbler
3. Golden-winged warbler
4. Prothonotary warbler
5. Baltimore oriole
6. Green jay; swallow-tailed kite; wood duck
7. Harlequin duck
8. Chestnut-sided warbler
9. Magnolia warbler
10. Hooded warbler; ivory-billed woodpecker; northern cardinal; painted bunting"
One could certainly debate over which species did and didn't make the cut (although I think generally it's a pretty fair list), and with some additional sightings and glossier video/photos, a few years hence the Ivory-bill may be even higher up in the rankings!
Full article here:
http://www.centredaily.com/mld/centredaily/news/opinion/14391831.htm
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Another Cornell volunteer recounts his search participation at White River NWR during spring break for 2 weeks. Good variety of pics...:
http://www.angelfire.com/ab6/birdpics/ark.html
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Article from a Wed. Pittsburgh paper by another professional ornithologist and Ivory-bill searcher with a possible prior Big Woods sighting:
http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06109/683110-115.stm
and here's a listserv post of interest from Tim Barksdale (associated with the Cornell team) which is several weeks old, but I just now discovered:
http://www.surfbirds.com/phorum/read.php?f=94&i=17583&t=17583
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